Wednesday, October 05, 2005

Office space and Monocentric vs Polycentric cities

I had another interesting Real Estate Economics class yesterday. Here are some of my notes:

  • 80% of office space in 1965 was in "downtown" areas
  • 65% of office space in 1992 was in suburbs
  • Of the newly built offices in last several years, 78% was built in suburbs
  • Today around 67% of office space in DC/Maryland/Virginia area is in suburbs compared to 20% in 1950

  • Summary: Office space has been moving to the suburbs and continues to do so

  • Wages are 10-20% less at the edge of cities than in the center
  • This is payment for the commuting cost
  • Amsterdam is a polycentric model which might explain why housing hasn't gone up over the last 300 years.
  • A polycentric city grows by adding new little centers (e.g., Atlanta, Phoenix, etc) so there isn't much scarcity.
  • Monocentric models (e.g., Manhattan) result in land scarcity because there is no where to build

  • A smart developer once said "he is in the business of creating scarcity". For example, everyone wants an ocean view, but that space is limited so he built inlets.

  • Summary: You make money in real estate from scarcity

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